"good enough" to be predictable means dominatingly better than your opponent at nearly every position.
If you are that much better you can do anything you want.
If you are better but not dominatingly so you can be conservative, but show some variability
If you are roughly equal you need to mix it up a lot
If you are somewhat worse, get deeper into your playbook
If you are UTEP playing UT, go nuts with it.
I used to do a little (very little) martial arts. When sparring with a black belt I had one strategy -- take it straight to him/her. I quickly learned that if I stayed at a distance and tried to use the couple moves I was decent at the black belt would just pick me apart. This was great for learning the skills but sometimes we would do fun sparring where you were seriously trying to "win". I would use my (then) quickness to get right in on them. If I could block their initial shot, I was right in on them trading blows. Every once in a while I would get a good clean shot on them,which was a hell of a lot more satisfying than getting taken apart shot by shot from 6 feet away. The black belts called me "freight train".
My point is that if you are UTEP playing UT, just go for it. Sure the odds are they will clobber you but they are going to do that anyway. They are 100% guaranteed to clobber you if your game plan consists of "run up the middle" and "hey everyone, it's wildcat time!" If you go for it, maybe you reduce those odds to 90%. At least you have a shot!
The contrast is when Aaron Price was OC. Every single game he treated like we were playing Alabama, even when we had a lead against a poorer opponent. Instead of dialing it back and taking a 31-24 W, he would throw 15 yards downfield every damn down.
I get that being an OC isn't easy, especially when you have the talent pool that UTEP has, but for crying out loud show that you understand basic strategic concepts.
