Author Topic: Interesting Odds Stuff  (Read 581 times)

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kyyote

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Interesting Odds Stuff
« on: August 03, 2023, 01:34:35 PM »
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  • from Bleachernation

    A strong season is not expected for the UTEP Miners, who were given an over/under of 5.5 wins by oddsmakers.

    UTEP 2023 Strength of Schedule
    UTEP will have the third-easiest schedule in college football, based on opponents? combined win total last season (47).
    According to its opponents? projected win total this year (35), UTEP has the third-easiest schedule in college football.
    Based on its CUSA opponents? projected win total this year (), UTEP has the -easiest conference schedule in college football.
    UTEP has a schedule that features four games in 2023 against teams that finished over .500 in 2022 (zero of those teams won nine or more games and two of them totaled three or fewer wins).
    The Miners? schedule in 2023 includes four returning teams who played in a bowl game.

    UTEP Projected Wins
    Based on our prediction model, the Miners should win four games this season.
    UTEP had more wins last year than only three opponents on its schedule this season.
    UTEP has worse National Championship odds (+1000000) than each opponent it takes on this year.
    According to the current odds (-120), the Miners have a 54.5% chance of eclipsing their season win total over/under (5.5).
    In 2023, UTEP is currently +1000000 to win the national championship, meaning the Miners possess a 0% chance of winning it all.
    At +1100, UTEP?s chances of winning CUSA this season are implied to be 8.3%.

    UTEP Last Season Performance
    The Miners went 5-7 last year and failed to qualify for a bowl game.
    UTEP was 4-2 at home last year, but they won just one game on the road.
    The Miners won two games as underdogs (2-5) and went 3-2 as favorites.
    In the FBS the Miners were 5-7, and in the conference overall they went 3-5.
    UTEP covered five times in 12 matchups with a spread last season.
    The Miners and their opponents combined to hit the over four out of 12 times last season.
    From an offensive standpoint, UTEP ranked 74th in FBS with 377.6 yards per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 39th in total defense (351.2 yards allowed per contest).
    UTEP ranked 91st in scoring offense (24.4 points per game) and 72nd in scoring defense (27.0 points allowed per game) last season.
    The Miners put up 210.4 passing yards per game on offense last season (93rd in FBS), and they ranked 49th on defense with 215.5 passing yards allowed per game.
    From an offensive standpoint, UTEP ranked 55th in FBS last season with 167.2 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 45th in rushing yards allowed per contest (135.7).


    orange-oink

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    Re: Interesting Odds Stuff
    « Reply #1 on: August 03, 2023, 03:41:07 PM »
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  • Doesn?t sound too encouraging.

    kyyote

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    Re: Interesting Odds Stuff
    « Reply #2 on: August 03, 2023, 05:26:38 PM »
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  • The easiest schedule in football and the odds say they?ll win five, maybe six games.

    Push harder!  That should be a cheer. ?Push harder, you Miners!  Push it in!?