Updated the probabilities based on more games. The easy part of our season is done and we took care of business. I feel we have two "should win" games in USM and UNT, but both are on the road so I am giving them no more than 50%. La Tech and Rice are "may win" games because we are at home, but they look like they might be better teams than us. I fully expect us to get dominated by FAU, UTSA, and UAB
Probability of bowl eligibililty is now 66%
Win chance % Team % Chance of winning
Game 1 100 NMSU None 0.00
Game 2 100 BCU 1 or more 100.00
Game 3 0 BSU 2 or more 100.00
Game 4 100 UNM 3 or more 100.00
Game 5 100 ODU 4 or more 100.00
Game 6 50 USM 5 or more 92.30
Game 7 35 La T 6 or more 66.04
Game 8 10 FAU 7 or more 31.34
Game 9 10 UTSA 8 or more 8.86
Game 10 50 UNT 9 or more 1.36
Game 11 35 Rice 10 or more 0.10
Game 12 10 UAB 11 or more 0.00